Duk da tsananin toshe kowanne na hudu da hadurran yanayi masu maimaituwa, Najeriya na nuna kyakkyawan lafiyar tattalin arziki tare da adadin ci gaban da ya kai kashi biyu a cikin dari a shekarar 2024. Bayan sanarwar hukuma daga ministocin kudi ranar 20 ga Mayu 2026, an bayyana yadda tattalin arzikin ya canza matsalolinsa zuwa damammaki na mulkin kai.

Niamey, 21 ga Mayu 2026 – A karkashin rikicin kudi da kasuwanci mai tsanani bayan abubuwan da suka faru ranar 26 ga Yuli 2023, Najeriya ba ta fadi ba. A maimakon haka, a lokacin wani shahararren jawabi a talabijin ranar Laraba 20 ga Mayu 2026, ministocin kudi, Malam Mamane Laouali Abdou Rafa, ya bayyana wata sabuwa mai ban mamaki ga cibiyoyin kudi na duniya: a shekarar 2024, samfurin cikin gida (GDP) na Najeriya ya karu da kashi 10.4%.

Ta yaya wata kasa da aka toshe ta cikin tsanani na kusan watanni takwas ta samu kyakkyawan ci gaban tattalin arziki? Binciken adadin ya nuna wani tsari na juriya mai karfi, wanda aka yi wa ganuwa ta hanyar hadin gwiwa tsakanin noma da man fetur.

Aljannar rashin hukuncin duk da kariya daga noma

Tarihi zai yaba cewa, hukuncin daga CEDEAO da UEMOA an yi shi ne don shafar Niamey. Ko da yake sun toshe hanyoyin kudi na al’ada, sun samu cikas daga wani hakikanin tsarin: tattalin arzikin Najeriya na kallo ne a cikin bangaren gona.

Tsarin gona ya kai kusan kashi 38 cikin dari na GDP na kasa, kuma ya zama mai tsayar da tashin hankali a lokacin gaggawa. Shi kadai ya samar da fiye da rabi na kyakkyawan ci gaban tarihinsa a shekara ta 2024. Ta hanyar kare gonaki da bunkasa samar da kayayyakin abinci, tsarin gaggawa na zababbun sababbin hanyoyin ya tabbatar da guje wa babbar matsalar yunwa, har ila yau yana saka kudi a cikin aljihun manoma. Darasi na farko daga wannan bala’i: samun abinci ya zama sharuɗɗan kai tsaye na juriya a cikin siyasa.

Man fetur, sabon makamin kasafin kudi

Makami na biyu na wannan gagarumin nasarar Najeriya yana kasancewa a ƙarƙashin ruwan Agadem. Shekarar 2024 ta kasance shekarar da aka fara fitar da man fetur daga Najeriya ta hanyar babban bututun da ke haɗa Najeriya da Bénin.

“Hanyoyin kudi da aka tara ta hanyar samun kudin man fetur sun tallafawa kashe kudi na gwamnati da kuma supportan tattalin arzikin lokacin da aka tsaurara hukuncin,” in ji ministocin kudi.

A bayyane, man fetur ya samar da isasshen kudi don kauce wa daskarar da tayi a Asusun Tsakanin Kudi na Yammacin Afirka (BCEAO). Wannan kwararar kudaden ta ba gwamnatin damar ci gaba da gudanar da ayyukan gwamnati da kuma shigar da sojoji don magance kalubale na tsaro, da kuma zuba jari a cikin tsarin gine-gine na cikin gida, yana rage dogaro da hanyoyin agajin duniya na al’ada.

Kasancewar shekarar 2025: komawa ko tsayawa?

A shekarar 2025, ministocin kudi suna shirin samun raguwar ci gaba zuwa kashi 6.9%. Wannan adadi yana janta da sha’awa a fannin kasuwancin yammacin duniya, amma duk da haka yana haifar da tambayoyi a Niamey.

Alamomin tattalin arziki Shekarar 2024 (rekodi) Hasashen 2025 Tasirin
Adadin ci gaban GDP 10.4% 6.9% Daidaitacce na fasaha
Babban makami Tashi daga man fetur da gona Babban shuka Canjin tsarin

Ministan ya ke sonwa hankalin mutane cewa, ba wai kasa take ba ce, sai dai tasirin daga karfin hankali. Gagarumin cinikayya na 2024 yana wakiltar sabuwar shigar man fetur a cikin lissafin GDP. A shekarar 2025, zayyana man fetur na karuwa yana raguwa, yana haifar da daidaituwa a cikin samun ci gaban.

Don tabbatar da ci gaban nan, Niamey yanzu na canja hanyar ci gaba. Gwamnati tana shawarar shirin shuka manyan gonaki. Burin shi mai kyau: a ware noma daga manyan canje-canjen yanayi tare da canza daga noma na ruwa zuwa samar da kayayyaki cikin tsari mai inganci.

Kalubale wajen rarrabawa: daga ci gaban kudi zuwa rashi ga mai zama

Yanzu shine babban aikin wannan canjin. Duk da cewa nasarorin tattalin arziki sun kasance a bayyane, babban kalubale shine juyar da wannan “10.4%” zuwa ingantaccen bayani ga rayuwar mutanen Najeriya, wadanda har yanzu suna fuskantar tashin farashin kayayyaki.

Ministan kudi ya ce karuwar kudaden gona ya taimaka wajen shawo kan matsala a yankunan karkara. Amma a Niamey da manyan biranen, matsa lamba kan iyalai na ci gaba. Gwamnati tana da wani babban arzikin kasafi: kudaden man fetur. Hanyar da za a rarraba wadannan albarkatun — a harkokin lafiya, ilimi ko cikin rage farashin kayayyaki na bukata hanya — shine zai tantance ko tarihin tattalin arzikin 2024 zai kasance wani lokaci na wucin gadi ko kuma zai zama ainihin haihuwar Najeriya mai tasowa.

By Ibrahim

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